Time Variation in the News-Returns Relationship

Abstract

The well-documented underreaction of stock prices to news exhibits substantial time variation. Higher risk-bearing capacity of financial intermediaries, lower passive ownership of stocks, and more informative news increase price responses to contemporaneous news; surprisingly, they also increase price responses to lagged news (underreaction). Our findings are not driven by short-sale constraints, serial correlation in news flow, or improved information processing capacity. We discuss possible mechanisms based on investor behavior and strategic order-splitting by institutions. A simple model with limited attention and three investor types – institutional, non-institutional, passive – predicts the varying response to news we observe.

Keywords: information choice; asset pricing; price efficiency; attention

JEL Classification: G14, G20, D83