The Decline of Factions: The Impact of A Broad Purge on Political Appointments in China

72 Pages Posted: 11 Sep 2019 Last revised: 15 Nov 2022

See all articles by Zeren Li

Zeren Li

Yale University

Melanie Manion

Duke University, Department of Political Science

Date Written: November 14, 2022

Abstract

We conceptualize broad purges, which extend far below top powerholders in authoritarian regimes and operate according to a logic fundamentally different from coup-proofing purges that target rivals to the supreme leader. Broad purges induce risk reduction in decision-making because they grossly exacerbate uncertainty and raise the likelihood and cost of political error. Empirically, we analyze political appointment decisions before and during a massive corruption crackdown in China. We estimate purge impact on appointments of prefectural communist party secretaries in 2013–2017. To signal to Beijing that they are not building factions, party bosses of these officials can be expected to reduce risk by biasing appointments against their own clients, with variation in bias reflecting geographic heterogeneity in purge intensity. We find a large effect of purge intensity on anti-client bias during this broad purge, but not in previous smaller-scale anticorruption crackdowns. This study contributes to knowledge about purges under authoritarianism.

Keywords: purge, political selection, authoritarianism, corruption crackdown, China

Suggested Citation

Li, Zeren and Manion, Melanie, The Decline of Factions: The Impact of A Broad Purge on Political Appointments in China (November 14, 2022). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3446354 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3446354

Zeren Li (Contact Author)

Yale University ( email )

New Haven, CT 06510
United States

Melanie Manion

Duke University, Department of Political Science ( email )

140 Science Drive, 294F Gross Hall
Duke University Mailcode: 90204
Durham, NC 27708-0204
United States

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