The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update

16 Pages Posted: 31 Jul 2007 Last revised: 30 Jul 2010

See all articles by Ray C. Fair

Ray C. Fair

Yale University - Cowles Foundation; Yale School of Management - International Center for Finance

Date Written: April 1987

Abstract

In previous work I have developed an equation explaining votes for president in the United States that seems to have a remarkable predictive ability. In this paper the equation is updated through the 1984 election and then used to predict the 1988 election.

Suggested Citation

Fair, Ray C., The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update (April 1987). NBER Working Paper No. w2222. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=347012

Ray C. Fair (Contact Author)

Yale University - Cowles Foundation ( email )

Box 208281
New Haven, CT 06520-8281
United States
203-432-3715 (Phone)
203-432-6167 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://fairmodel.econ.yale.edu

Yale School of Management - International Center for Finance ( email )

Box 208200
New Haven, CT 06520
United States
203-432-3715 (Phone)
203-432-6167 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://fairmodel.econ.yale.edu

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