The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update
16 Pages Posted: 31 Jul 2007 Last revised: 13 Feb 2023
Date Written: April 1987
Abstract
In previous work I have developed an equation explaining votes for president in the United States that seems to have a remarkable predictive ability. In this paper the equation is updated through the 1984 election and then used to predict the 1988 election.
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