Information Operations Increase Civilian Security Cooperation

35 Pages Posted: 22 Oct 2019

See all articles by Konstantin Sonin

Konstantin Sonin

University of Chicago - Harris School of Public Policy; Higher School of Economics; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Austin L. Wright

University of Chicago - Harris School of Public Policy

Date Written: September 22, 2019

Abstract

Information operations are considered a central element of modern warfare, yet there remains little, if any, systematic evidence of their effectiveness. Using a geographic quasi-experiment conducted during Operation Enduring Freedom in Afghanistan, we demonstrate that civilians exposed to the government’s information campaign resulted in more civilian security cooperation, which in turn increased bomb neutralizations. These results are robust to a number of alternative model specifications that account for troop presence and operations and other confounding factors. The core findings are also corroborated with evidence from a nationwide survey and large-scale analysis of intelligence reports and counterinsurgent operations. This note demonstrates that information campaigns can lead to welfare-enhancing attitudinal and behavioral changes in an adversarial environment and can substantially improve battlefield outcomes.

Suggested Citation

Sonin, Konstantin and Wright, Austin L., Information Operations Increase Civilian Security Cooperation (September 22, 2019). University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper No. 2019-130. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3473421 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3473421

Konstantin Sonin (Contact Author)

University of Chicago - Harris School of Public Policy ( email )

1155 East 60th Street
Chicago, IL 60637
United States

Higher School of Economics ( email )

20 Myasnitskaya street
Moscow, 119017
Russia

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

London
United Kingdom

Austin L. Wright

University of Chicago - Harris School of Public Policy ( email )

1155 East 60th Street
Chicago, IL 60637
United States

HOME PAGE: http://www.austinlwright.com

Here is the Coronavirus
related research on SSRN

Paper statistics

Downloads
19
Abstract Views
191
PlumX Metrics