Fighting Terrorism in Africa When Existing Terrorism Levels Matter

Behavioral Sciences of Terrorism and Political Aggression, 13(1), pp. 1-22 (January, 2021).

43 Pages Posted: 12 Dec 2019 Last revised: 26 Jan 2021

See all articles by Simplice Asongu

Simplice Asongu

African Governance and Development Institute

Vanessa S. Tchamyou

African Governance and Development Institute

Ndemaze Asongu

University of South Africa - Department of Communication Science

Nina Tchamyou

African Governance and Development Institute

Date Written: January 26, 2019

Abstract

This study examines policy tools in the fight against terrorism when existing levels of terrorism matter in 53 African countries for the period 1998-2012. The empirical evidence is based on contemporary, non-contemporary and Instrumental Variable Quantile regressions (QR) which enable the investigation throughout the conditional distributions of domestic, transnational and total terrorism dynamics. The following findings are established. First, counterterrorism policy instruments of inclusive human development and military expenditure further fuel terrorim. Second, political stability negatively affects terrorism with a negative threshold effect. Political stability estimates are consistently significant with increasing negative magnitudes throughout the conditional distributions of domestic and total terrorism. Policy implications are discussed.

Keywords: Terrorism; Inclusive development; Political stability; Military expenditure; Africa

JEL Classification: C52; D74; F42; O16; O38

Suggested Citation

Asongu, Simplice and S. Tchamyou, Vanessa and Asongu, Ndemaze and Tchamyou, Nina, Fighting Terrorism in Africa When Existing Terrorism Levels Matter (January 26, 2019). Behavioral Sciences of Terrorism and Political Aggression, 13(1), pp. 1-22 (January, 2021). , Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3493501 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3493501

Simplice Asongu (Contact Author)

African Governance and Development Institute ( email )

P.O. Box 8413
Yaoundé, 8413
Cameroon

Vanessa S. Tchamyou

African Governance and Development Institute ( email )

P.O. Box 8413
Yaoundé, 8413
Cameroon

Ndemaze Asongu

University of South Africa - Department of Communication Science ( email )

Pretoria
South Africa

Nina Tchamyou

African Governance and Development Institute ( email )

P.O. Box 18 SOA
Yaoundé, 1365
Cameroon

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