Do Temporary Demand Shocks Have Long-Term Effects for Startups?

91 Pages Posted: 4 Dec 2019

See all articles by Hans K. Hvide

Hans K. Hvide

University of Bergen - Department of Economics; University of Aberdeen - Business School; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR); Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

Tom Meling

University of Bergen; University of Chicago

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: November 2019

Abstract

Recent work shows that firms born in cohorts with weak job creation are persistently smaller, even when the aggregate economy recovers. As both demand-side and supply-side factors vary with the business cycle, it is challenging to establish what drives these patterns from aggregate data. We use comprehensive procurement auctions and register data from Norway to study the effect of cross-sectional variation in transient demand shocks on long-run outcomes for startups. Auction winners have more than 20% higher sales and employment than runners-up several years after the auction. They are also more profitable. Investment effects, broadly interpreted, appear important to understand the results.

Keywords: entrepreneurship, Investments, Startups

JEL Classification: D21, D24, G39, J23, L11, L25

Suggested Citation

Hvide, Hans and Meling, Tom, Do Temporary Demand Shocks Have Long-Term Effects for Startups? (November 2019). CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14131. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3496620

Hans Hvide (Contact Author)

University of Bergen - Department of Economics ( email )

Fosswinckelsgt. 6
N-5007 Bergen, 5007
Norway

University of Aberdeen - Business School ( email )

Edward Wright Building
Dunbar Street
Aberdeen, Scotland AB24 3QY
United Kingdom

HOME PAGE: http://hans.hvide.googlepages.com/

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

London
United Kingdom

Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) ( email )

P.O. Box 7240
Bonn, D-53072
Germany

Tom Meling

University of Bergen ( email )

Fosswinckelsgt. 6
Bergen, N-5007
Norway

HOME PAGE: http://https://sites.google.com/site/tomgrmeling/

University of Chicago ( email )

1101 East 58th Street
Chicago, IL 60637
United States

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