Exploiting the Dividend Month Premium: Evidence from Germany
31 Pages Posted: 20 Feb 2020 Last revised: 3 Aug 2020
Date Written: July 30, 2020
Dividend payments are firm events on a recurring and predictable basis. High returns in the period between announcement-date and ex-dividend date are the main driver for the so-called dividend month premium, which are positive abnormal returns in months in which corporations are predicted to issue dividend payments. In our empirical analysis of the German stock market, we find a robust dividend month premium with especially strong post-announcement drifts for stocks with positive dividend surprise. Knowing the date of dividend payments enables portfolio managers to exploit the dividend month premium. Also taking into account tracking error and transaction costs, we show that simple portfolio-enhancing strategies lead to highly significant abnormal returns.
Keywords: Dividends, Dividend month premium, Dividend surprise, Cumulative abnormal returns, Outperformance, Exploitation, Portfolio management
JEL Classification: G11, G12, G14, G35
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