Establishing Pathways to Democracy Using Domination Analysis

31 Pages Posted: 17 Feb 2020

See all articles by Amanda Edgell

Amanda Edgell

University of Florida, Department of Political Science

Vanessa A. Boese

University of Gothenburg

Seraphine F. Maerz

University of Gothenburg

Patrik Lindenfors

Institute for Future Studies; Stockholm University

Staffan I. Lindberg

University of Gothenburg - Varieties of Democracy Institute; University of Gothenburg - Department of Political Science

Date Written: February 10, 2020

Abstract

How does the order in which liberalization unfolds affect the likelihood for a successful democratic transition? Dahl was among the first to argue that the sequence matters for the outcome when it comes to democratization. This paper builds upon his work and empirically analyzes pathways to democracy employing the newly developed method of domination analysis. We are the first to demonstrate three key fi ndings:

1) There is a clear structure in terms of order of how most episodes of liberalization from authoritarian rule develop;

2) Such sequences are different in key respects for failed and successful episodes of liberalization; and

3) clean election elements - in the capacity of electoral management bodies - stand out as developing earlier in episodes that successfully lead to democracy.

Suggested Citation

Edgell, Amanda and Boese, Vanessa A. and Maerz, Seraphine F. and Lindenfors, Patrik and Lindberg, Staffan I., Establishing Pathways to Democracy Using Domination Analysis (February 10, 2020). V-Dem Working Paper 95, February 2020, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3535626 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3535626

Amanda Edgell (Contact Author)

University of Florida, Department of Political Science ( email )

PO Box 117325
Gainesville, FL 32611-7325
United States

Vanessa A. Boese

University of Gothenburg ( email )

Viktoriagatan 30
Göteborg, 405 30
Sweden

Seraphine F. Maerz

University of Gothenburg ( email )

Viktoriagatan 30
Göteborg, 405 30
Sweden

Patrik Lindenfors

Institute for Future Studies ( email )

Holländergatan 13
Stockholm, 11136
Sweden
0703418687 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://www.lindenfors.se

Stockholm University ( email )

Centre for the Study of Cultural Evolution
Stockholm, S-106 91
Sweden
+46703418687 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://https://www.su.se/profiles/patrikj-1.183878

Staffan I. Lindberg

University of Gothenburg - Varieties of Democracy Institute ( email )

Sprängkullsgatan 19
Gothenburg, Gothenburg 405 30
Sweden

HOME PAGE: http://www.pol.gu.se/varianter-pa-demokrati--v-dem-/

University of Gothenburg - Department of Political Science ( email )

Box 711
Gothenburg, S-405 30
Sweden

HOME PAGE: http://www.pol.gu.se

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