Whatever Happened to Scenario Planning? A Systematic Literature Review

28 Pages Posted: 6 Mar 2020

See all articles by Sophie Kobes

Sophie Kobes

University of Bayreuth

Thomas R. Loy

University of Bremen

Date Written: February 11, 2020

Abstract

Scenario planning (SP) enables the user to model multiple simultaneous uncertainties far into the future and explicitly allows for subjective interpretations of the findings. In this systematic literature review we condense and review the full body of literature along six dimensions: (1) Does SP show a specific time trend? (2) How did the literature develop in terms of theory building versus practical application? (3) Are there semantic peculiarities regarding the different SP terms, or are they used interchangeably? (4) Is there a visible geographic pattern in the location of research? (5) How can the literature be judged in terms of scientific quality? (6) In which subfield(s) of business and management research has SP gained notoriety?

Suggested Citation

Kobes, Sophie and Loy, Thomas R., Whatever Happened to Scenario Planning? A Systematic Literature Review (February 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3536419 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3536419

Sophie Kobes

University of Bayreuth ( email )

Universitatsstr 30
Bayreuth, D-95447
Germany

Thomas R. Loy (Contact Author)

University of Bremen ( email )

Universitaetsallee GW I
Bremen, D-28334
Germany

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