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Nowcasting and Forecasting the Spreading of Novel Coronavirus 2019-nCoV and Its Association with Weather Variables in 30 Chinese Provinces: A Case Study

17 Pages Posted: 13 Feb 2020

See all articles by Nadia AL-Rousan

Nadia AL-Rousan

Istanbul Gelisim University - Department of Computer Engineering

Hazem Al-Najjar

Istanbul Gelisim University - Department of Computer Engineering

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Abstract

On 1st of February, 2020, 2019-noV coronavirus outbreak was announced to the public and it was classified as epidemic. Although the disease was discovered in Hubei province, China, but it was exported to all other Chinese provinces and spread globally. The novel coronavirus disease couldn’t contained and it continued its spreading to all the world to exceed 34000 cases in main land China. Finding the environment effect on the epidemic spreading would help in understanding the growth of the disease. Besides, forecasting the size of infected, death, and recovered cases in China provinces would help to understand the domestic of this disease on global health.

Funding: The authors received no specific funding for this work.

Declaration of Interest: We declare no competing interests.

Keywords: Corona-virus; 2019-nCoV; Forecasting; Weather variables; China

Suggested Citation

AL-Rousan, Nadia and Al-Najjar, Hazem, Nowcasting and Forecasting the Spreading of Novel Coronavirus 2019-nCoV and Its Association with Weather Variables in 30 Chinese Provinces: A Case Study (2/9/2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3537084 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3537084

Nadia AL-Rousan (Contact Author)

Istanbul Gelisim University - Department of Computer Engineering ( email )

Turkey

Hazem Al-Najjar

Istanbul Gelisim University - Department of Computer Engineering

Turkey

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