The Effect of Government Contracts on Corporate Valuation

58 Pages Posted: 23 Mar 2020

See all articles by Omar A. Esqueda

Omar A. Esqueda

Tarleton State University - Department of Accounting, Finance, & Economics

Thanh Ngo

East Carolina University

Jurica Susnjara

Texas State University

Date Written: 2019

Abstract

We document significantly lower valuations for government contractors in the United States. While contracting with government agencies reduces firms’ cost of equity, it significantly lowers their sales growth. These findings are contingent on economic conditions; negative valuations dissipate as operating performance improves during economy - and industry-wide recessions. The overall negative valuation effect of government contracts holds only for government contractors in strategically unimportant industries, as strategically important contractors have higher valuations, driven by better operating performance regardless of economic conditions. This is the first study examining the relationship between government procurement and corporate valuation. It also adds to the growing body of literature on politically connected firms by analyzing government contractors as a related‑but‑separate channel of governmental influence on the corporate world.

Keywords: Government Contractors, Cost of Equity, Firm Value, Operating Performance, Sales Growth, Tobin’s Q

JEL Classification: G30, G32, G38

Suggested Citation

Esqueda, Omar A. and Ngo, Thanh and Susnjara, Jurica, The Effect of Government Contracts on Corporate Valuation (2019). Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 106, 2019, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3543192

Omar A. Esqueda (Contact Author)

Tarleton State University - Department of Accounting, Finance, & Economics ( email )

Stephenville, TX 76402
United States
(254)968-9908 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://tarleton.edu

Thanh Ngo

East Carolina University ( email )

Greenville, NC 27858
United States

Jurica Susnjara

Texas State University ( email )

TX
United States

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