Race and the Race for the White House: On Social Research in the Age of Trump

al-Gharbi, Musa. “Race and the Race for the White House: On Social Research in the Age of Trump.” The American Sociologist (49)4: 496-519, 2018

44 Pages Posted: 26 Mar 2020

See all articles by Musa al-Gharbi

Musa al-Gharbi

Columbia University - Department of Sociology

Date Written: April 14, 2018

Abstract

As it became clear that Donald Trump had a real base of political support, even as analysts consistently underestimated his electoral prospects, they grew increasingly fascinated with the question of who was supporting him (and why). However, researchers also tend to hold strong negative opinions about Trump. Consequently, they have approached this research with uncharitable priors about the kind of person who would support him and what they would be motivated by. Research design and data analysis often seem to be oriented towards reinforcing those assumptions. This essay highlights the epistemological consequences of these tendencies through a series of case studies featuring prominent and influential works that purport to explain the role of race and racism in the 2016 U.S. presidential election. It demonstrates that quality control systems, which should catch major errors, seem to be failing in systematic ways as a result of shared priors and commitments between authors, reviewers and editors — which are also held in common with the journalists and scholars citing and amplifying this work — leading to misinformation cascades. Of course, motivated reasoning, confirmation bias, prejudicial study design, and failure to address confounds are not limited to questions about Trump — however they seem to be particularly pronounced in this case due to the relative homogeneity and intensity of scholars’ views about this topic as compared to other social phenomena. “Trump studies,” therefore, provides fertile ground for exploring how social research can go awry — and the consequences of these failures — particularly with respect to work on contentious and politically-charged topics.

Keywords: Race and Racism, Sociology of Knowledge, Political Sociology, Political Science, Donald Trump

JEL Classification: B40, C00, D63, J15, Z13

Suggested Citation

al-Gharbi, Musa, Race and the Race for the White House: On Social Research in the Age of Trump (April 14, 2018). al-Gharbi, Musa. “Race and the Race for the White House: On Social Research in the Age of Trump.” The American Sociologist (49)4: 496-519, 2018, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3546627

Musa Al-Gharbi (Contact Author)

Columbia University - Department of Sociology ( email )

New York, NY 10027
United States

HOME PAGE: http://sociology.columbia.edu/content/musa-al-gharbi

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