Comparing the Spread of COVID-19 between Italy and the United States

2 Pages Posted: 26 Aug 2020

Date Written: March 16, 2020

Abstract

When aligning two sets of outbreak data, the infection rate of COVID-19 has a statistical average of 93.5% correlation between Italy and the United States. This indicates a reliable trend of viral spread (despite a difference in total population size and “patient zero” dates). If the matching rates continue into the end of the month, the amount of confirmed cases in the United States may reach ≥25,000 by March 31st, 2020.

Funding: None.

Conflict of Interest: None.

Keywords: COVID-19, infectious disease, predictive analytics

Suggested Citation

Nash, Graeme and Schiffmann, Avi and Craig, Shane T., Comparing the Spread of COVID-19 between Italy and the United States (March 16, 2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3554959 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3554959

Graeme Nash (Contact Author)

MCC Penn Valley ( email )

3200 Broadway Blvd
Kansas City, MO 64111
United States
(816) 604-1000 (Phone)

Avi Schiffmann

Independent

Shane T. Craig

Independent

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