Terrorism, Political Opinions, and Election Outcomes: Evidence from Europe

59 Pages Posted: 30 Mar 2020

See all articles by Giovanni Peri

Giovanni Peri

University of California, Davis - Department of Economics

Daniel I. Rees

University of Colorado Denver; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Brock Smith

Montana State University - Billings

Abstract

There is surprisingly little evidence on how terror attacks impact elections. With only a few exceptions, previous studies in this literature have focused on a particular country or attack, limiting their generalizability. Ours is the first comprehensive, multi-country examination of the effects of terror attacks on political opinions and election outcomes. The results provide little evidence that terror attacks are systematically related to Europeans' attitudes towards immigrants and how much trust they have in government. International terror attacks are, however, associated with an increase in the vote share received by nationalistic parties in Europe. These results are relevant to the ongoing debate among academics over the effectiveness of terror attacks.

Keywords: terrorism, elections, nationalism, terror attack

JEL Classification: D72, D74

Suggested Citation

Peri, Giovanni and Rees, Daniel I. and Smith, Brock, Terrorism, Political Opinions, and Election Outcomes: Evidence from Europe. IZA Discussion Paper No. 13090. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3562880

Giovanni Peri (Contact Author)

University of California, Davis - Department of Economics ( email )

One Shields Drive
Davis, CA 95616-8578
United States
530-752-3033 (Phone)
530-752-9382 (Fax)

Daniel I. Rees

University of Colorado Denver ( email )

Campus Box 181
P.O. Box 173364
Denver, CO 80218
United States

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

Brock Smith

Montana State University - Billings ( email )

1500 University Dr
Billings, MT 59101
United States

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