The Prediction for the Outbreak of COVID-19 in European Countries by Using Turning Phase Concepts as of April 9, 2020
19 Pages Posted: 20 Apr 2020
Date Written: April 9, 2020
Based on a new concept called “ Turning Period”, the goal of this report is to show how we can conduct the prediction for the outlook in the different stages for the battle with outbreak of COVID-19 currently worldwide. Indeed, based on the data of April 9, 2020 with the numerical analysis, we are able to classify 13 countries in Europe fighting with COVID-19 into three different categories stages for the Prevention and Control of Infectious Diseases Worldwide Today.
We want to reinforce that emergency risk management is always associated with the implementation of an emergency plan. The identification of the Turning Time Period is key to emergency planning as it provides a timeline for effective actions and solutions to combat a pandemic by reducing as much unexpected risk as soon as possible.
Keywords: COVID-19; Turning Phase; Delta and Gamma; Emergency Plan; Outbreak of Epidemic Infectious Disease
JEL Classification: E18, E27, E37, E66, G40, G41, H10, H12, H18, H51, I18
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