Age As a Risk Factor of COVID-19 Mortality in the Philippines

6 Pages Posted: 25 Jun 2020

Date Written: April 12, 2020


This paper aims to quantify the influence of age on the probability of a COVID-19 patient to die from the disease. A binary logistic regression analysis was employed in this particular study based on publicly available data of COVID-19 survivors and non-survivors in the Philippines. The result showed that age has a positively significant influence on COVID-19 mortality. Based on the binary logistic regression model, there is an increased risk of COVID-19 mortality of 1.096 per year of age. Further analysis also showed that COVID-19 patients who are 60 years old or more are 8.15 times more likely to die then those below 60 years old. This is explained by the presence of comorbidities among older aged patients as reported in previous literature.

Note: Funding: This research is funded by the author

Declaration of Interest: None

Keywords: age risk factor, COVID-19, mortality, logistic regression, Philippines

JEL Classification: I1

Suggested Citation

Medina, Michael Arieh, Age As a Risk Factor of COVID-19 Mortality in the Philippines (April 12, 2020). Available at SSRN: or

Michael Arieh Medina (Contact Author)

Central Mindanao University ( email )


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