Sticky Capital Controls

62 Pages Posted: 20 Apr 2020

See all articles by Miguel Acosta-Henao

Miguel Acosta-Henao

CUNY Graduate Center

Laura Alfaro

Harvard University

Andrés Fernández

Inter-American Development Bank (IDB)

Date Written: April 2020

Abstract

There is much ongoing debate on the merits of capital controls as effective policy instruments. The differing perspectives are due in part to a lack of empirical studies that look at the intensive margin of controls, which in turn has prevented a quantitative assessment of optimal capital control models against the data. We contribute to this debate by addressing both positive and normative features of capital controls. On the positive side, we build a new dataset using textual analysis, from which we document a set of stylized facts of capital controls along their intensive and extensive margins for 21 emerging markets. We document that capital controls are “sticky”; that is, changes to capital controls do not occur frequently, and when they do, they remain in place for a long time. Overall, they have not been used systematically across countries or time, and there has been considerable heterogeneity across countries in terms of the intensity with which they have been used. On the normative side, we extend a model of capital controls relying on pecuniary externalities augmented by including an (S; s) cost of implementing such policies. We illustrate how this friction goes a long way toward bringing the model closer to the data. When the extended model is calibrated for each of the countries in the new dataset, we find that the size of these costs is large, thus substantially reducing the welfare-enhancing effects of capital controls compared with the frictionless Ramsey benchmark. We conclude with a discussion of the structural interpretations of such costs, which calls for a richer set of policy constraints when considering the use of capital controls in models of pecuniary externalities.

Institutional subscribers to the NBER working paper series, and residents of developing countries may download this paper without additional charge at www.nber.org.

Suggested Citation

Acosta-Henao, Miguel and Alfaro, Laura and Fernández, Andrés, Sticky Capital Controls (April 2020). NBER Working Paper No. w26997, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3580555

Miguel Acosta-Henao (Contact Author)

CUNY Graduate Center ( email )

New York, NY
United States
9293431946 (Phone)

Laura Alfaro

Harvard University ( email )

Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

Andrés Fernández

Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) ( email )

1300 New York Avenue NW
Washington, DC 20577
United States

Do you have a job opening that you would like to promote on SSRN?

Paper statistics

Downloads
1
Abstract Views
221
PlumX Metrics