lancet-header

Preprints with The Lancet is part of SSRN´s First Look, a place where journals identify content of interest prior to publication. Authors have opted in at submission to The Lancet family of journals to post their preprints on Preprints with The Lancet. The usual SSRN checks and a Lancet-specific check for appropriateness and transparency have been applied. Preprints available here are not Lancet publications or necessarily under review with a Lancet journal. These preprints are early stage research papers that have not been peer-reviewed. The findings should not be used for clinical or public health decision making and should not be presented to a lay audience without highlighting that they are preliminary and have not been peer-reviewed. For more information on this collaboration, see the comments published in The Lancet about the trial period, and our decision to make this a permanent offering, or visit The Lancet´s FAQ page, and for any feedback please contact preprints@lancet.com.

COVID-19 Prevalence and Mortality Rates in Association with Black Race and Segregation in the United States April 1 to April 15, 2020

17 Pages Posted: 25 Jun 2020

See all articles by Michael Hendryx

Michael Hendryx

Indiana University Bloomington - Department of Environmental and Occupational Health

Juhua Luo

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Indiana University

More...

Abstract

Background: COVID-19 may be experienced disproportionately among racial minorities but evidence is limited. The study objective was to determine whether COVID-19 prevalence and mortality rates were higher in the US population in association with race/ethnicity, racial segregation, and other population characteristics.

Methods: The study used a repeated measures county-level ecological design including all US counties. Exposures included population characteristics including percent Black race, racial segregation, household income and income inequality, age, education, health insurance rates, primary care physician supply, and percent rural population. Outcomes were COVID-19 prevalence per 100,000 population, and death rates from COVID-19 per 100,000 between April 1 and April 15, 2020.

Findings: Higher disease prevalence and death rates were found in association with higher racial segregation, higher percent Black population, income and income inequality, and lower percent rural population. The disparity among populations characterized by combined higher percent Black population and higher segregation significantly worsened between April 1 and April 15, 2020.

Interpretation: Populations with a combination of higher percent of Black populations and greater racial segregation experienced higher COVID-19 prevalence and mortality, and this disparity increased significantly as the disease outbreak in the US worsened in the first half of April 2020. Current and future efforts to fight COVID-19 should address disproportionate risks in these communities.

Funding Statement: The study received no funding from any public or private source.

Declaration of Interests: None.

Keywords: COVID-19; Black Americans; mortality; prevalence; racial segregation

Suggested Citation

Hendryx, Michael and Luo, Juhua, COVID-19 Prevalence and Mortality Rates in Association with Black Race and Segregation in the United States April 1 to April 15, 2020 (4/20/2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3582857 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3582857

Michael Hendryx (Contact Author)

Indiana University Bloomington - Department of Environmental and Occupational Health ( email )

Bloomington, IN
United States
812-856 8875 (Phone)

Juhua Luo

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Indiana University

Click here to go to TheLancet.com

Paper statistics

Downloads
94
Abstract Views
1,230
PlumX Metrics