Massive Application of the COVID-19 Diagnostic Test. Simulation of Its Effect on the Evolution of the Epidemic in Spain

5 Pages Posted: 11 Jun 2020

See all articles by Jacobo López-Abente

Jacobo López-Abente

Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM)

Clara Valor-Suárez

Rey Juan Carlos Hospital

Gonzalo Lopez-Abente

Carlos III Institute of Health - National Center for Epidemiology (retired)

Date Written: April 23, 2020

Abstract

In Spain, the epidemic curve caused by COVID-19 has reached its peak in the last days of March. The implementation of the blockade derived from the declaration of the state of alarm on March 14th has raised a discussion on how and when to deal with the unblocking. In this article we intend to add information that may help using epidemic simulation techniques with ICMs Stochastic Individual Contact Models and several extensions.

Note: Funding: There is no funding for this project.

Conflict of Interest: The authors declare no competing interests.

Keywords: COVID-19, epidemiology, epidemic simulation

Suggested Citation

López-Abente, Jacobo and Valor-Suárez, Clara and Lopez-Abente, Gonzalo, Massive Application of the COVID-19 Diagnostic Test. Simulation of Its Effect on the Evolution of the Epidemic in Spain (April 23, 2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3583498 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3583498

Jacobo López-Abente

Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM) ( email )

Carretera de Humera s/n
Madrid, Madrid 28223
Spain

Clara Valor-Suárez

Rey Juan Carlos Hospital ( email )

Madrid
Spain

Gonzalo Lopez-Abente (Contact Author)

Carlos III Institute of Health - National Center for Epidemiology (retired) ( email )

c/ Monforte de Lemos 5
Madrid, Madrid 28029
Spain

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