Fiscal Policy During a Pandemic

37 Pages Posted: 29 Apr 2020

Date Written: March, 2020

Abstract

I study the effects of the 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak in the United States and subsequent fiscal policy response in a nonlinear DSGE model. The pandemic is a shock to the utility of contact-intensive services that propagates to other sectors via general equilibrium, triggering a deep recession. I use a calibrated version of the model to analyze different types of fiscal policies. I find that UI benefits are the most effective tool to stabilize income for borrowers, who are the hardest hit, while savers may favor unconditional transfers. Liquidity assistance programs are effective if the policy objective is to stabilize employment in the affected sector. I also study the effects of the $2 trillion CARES Act of 2020.

Keywords: fiscal policy, financial stability, pandemic

JEL Classification: E6, G01, H0

Suggested Citation

Faria-e-Castro, Miguel, Fiscal Policy During a Pandemic (March, 2020). FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2020-006, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3587693 or http://dx.doi.org/10.20955/wp.2020.006

Miguel Faria-e-Castro (Contact Author)

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis ( email )

411 Locust St
Saint Louis, MO 63011
United States

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