Smoking Gun? Linking Gun Ownership to Neighborhood Crime
64 Pages Posted: 19 May 2020 Last revised: 16 Mar 2021
Date Written: April 29, 2020
Using linked individual data on concealed handgun permits (CHP), reported crimes and arrests, I examine the dynamics of gun-ownership, victimization and neighborhood crime. I estimate the impact of guns on crime through a shift-share instrument based on spikes in gun sales after high-profile events that impact beliefs about future gun rights and existing variation in a neighborhood's share of likely future gun-owners (republicans). Results show a 5.9% increase in neighborhood crime for each additional CHP issued with gun-related crimes suggesting a role for guns stolen and moved to the illegal gun market, and increased use of guns for violent crimes.
Keywords: Guns; Neighborhood Crime; Concealed Handgun Permits
JEL Classification: K42; R23
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation