Exuber: Recursive Right-Tailed Unit Root Testing with R
28 Pages Posted: 12 Jun 2020 Last revised: 11 Jan 2022
Date Written: May, 2020
This paper introduces the R package exuber for testing and date-stamping periods of mildly explosive dynamics (exuberance) in time series. The package computes test statistics for the supremum ADF test (SADF) of Phillips, Wu and Yu (2011), the generalized SADF (GSADF) of Phillips, Shi and Yu (2015a,b), and the panel GSADF proposed by Pavlidis, Yusupova, Paya, Peel, Martínez-García, Mack and Grossman (2016); generates finite-sample critical values based on Monte Carlo and bootstrap methods; and implements the corresponding date-stamping procedures. The recursive least-squares algorithm that we introduce in our implementation of these techniques utilizes the matrix inversion lemma and in that way achieves significant speed improvements. We illustrate the speed gains in a simulation experiment, and provide illustrations of the package using artificial series and a panel on international house prices.
Keywords: Mildly explosive time series, Right-tailed unit root tests, R
JEL Classification: C15, C22, C23, C53, C87
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation