Economic Integration, Industrial Specialization, and the Asymmetry of Macroeconomic Fluctuations

43 Pages Posted: 18 Apr 2003

See all articles by Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan

Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan

University of Maryland - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); Koc University, Graduate School of Business

Bent E. Sørensen

University of Houston - Department of Economics; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Oved Yosha

Tel Aviv University - The Eitan Berglas School of Economics (Deceased)

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: May 2001

Abstract

We show empirically that regions with a more specialized production structure exhibit output fluctuations that are less correlated with those of other regions (less \symmetric fluctuations). Combined with the causal relation running from capital market integration to regional specialization found in an earlier study, this finding supports the idea that higher capital market integration leads to less symmetric output fluctuations. This mechanism counter-balances the effect of lower trade-barriers on the symmetry of fluctuations quantified by Frankel and Rose (1998). It is further argued that more asymmetric output shocks do not necessarily imply more asymmetric income shocks, since more cross-country ownership of productive assets may actually render income shocks more symmetric despite the greater asymmetry of output shocks. Some evidence in support of this claim is reported. Deriving a simple closed form expression for the gains from risk sharing for CRRA utility is an independent contribution of the present article.

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Keywords: Economic integration, EMU, risk sharing, specialization, fluctuations asymmetry

JEL Classification: E32, F15

Suggested Citation

Kalemli-Ozcan, Sebnem and Sorensen, Bent E. and Yosha, Oved, Economic Integration, Industrial Specialization, and the Asymmetry of Macroeconomic Fluctuations (May 2001). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=361460 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.361460

Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan (Contact Author)

University of Maryland - Department of Economics ( email )

College Park, MD 20742
United States

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

Koc University, Graduate School of Business ( email )

Rumelifeneri Yolu
34450 Sar?yer
Istanbul, 34450
Turkey

Bent E. Sorensen

University of Houston - Department of Economics ( email )

204 McElhinney Hall
Houston, TX 77204-5882
United States
713-743-3841 (Phone)
713-743-3798 (Fax)

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) ( email )

London
United Kingdom

Oved Yosha

Tel Aviv University - The Eitan Berglas School of Economics (Deceased)

N/A

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