On the Efficacy of Optimized Exit Rule for Mean Reversion Trading

17 Pages Posted: 8 Jul 2020

See all articles by Donovan Lee

Donovan Lee

Duke University - Mathematics Department

Tim Leung

University of Washington - Department of Applied Math

Date Written: June 14, 2020

Abstract

We investigate the effect of using an optimized exit rule on pairs trading. For every asset pair, we optimize the positions so that resulting intraday portfolio value is best fitted to an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process through maximum likelihood estimation. Using eight asset pairs, we examine the risks and returns of pairs trading strategies with and without an optimize exit rule. We provide empirical evidence that using an optimized exit rule improves the profitability of the trades and reduces turnovers.

Keywords: pairs trading, mean reversion, optimal exit

JEL Classification: C4, C5, C8

Suggested Citation

Lee, Donovan and Leung, Tim, On the Efficacy of Optimized Exit Rule for Mean Reversion Trading (June 14, 2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3626471 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3626471

Donovan Lee

Duke University - Mathematics Department ( email )

120 Science Drive
117 Physics Building
Durham, NC North Carolina 27708
United States

Tim Leung (Contact Author)

University of Washington - Department of Applied Math ( email )

Lewis Hall 217
Department of Applied Math
Seattle, WA 98195
United States

HOME PAGE: http://faculty.washington.edu/timleung/

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