The Impact of Macroeconomic Indicators on the Movement of CROBEX

FIP - Financije i pravo, Vol. 2 No. 1, 2014.

16 Pages Posted: 15 Jul 2020

See all articles by Bojan Tomić

Bojan Tomić

EFFECTUS University College for Law and Finance

Date Written: December 5, 2014

Abstract

Many research showed a high degree of correlation between the US and European capital markets, partly due to industrial‒financial linkages of the United States and Europe, and partly due to the influence of psychological factors on the behavior of individuals, and the concept of behavioral finance. However, it can be assumed that the movement of the value of an observed index does not depend solely on the change of values of the S & P 500 index. Accordingly and in line with rational economic theory, this paper examines the link between changes in the value of selected macroeconomic indicators and the value of the main share Croatian capital market index CROBEX. The results indicate that of the nine initially observed variables, movement of CROBEX can be described and further explained by changes in the value of average wages, parity rate and dollar, the kuna and the euro and the kuna and the Swiss franc.

Keywords: CROBEX, value trends, macroeconomic indicator, linear regression, logistic regression

JEL Classification: G11, G14, G15

Suggested Citation

Tomić, Bojan, The Impact of Macroeconomic Indicators on the Movement of CROBEX (December 5, 2014). FIP - Financije i pravo, Vol. 2 No. 1, 2014., Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3632875

Bojan Tomić (Contact Author)

EFFECTUS University College for Law and Finance ( email )

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