Does Policy Communication During COVID Work?

51 Pages Posted: 23 Jun 2020

See all articles by Olivier Coibion

Olivier Coibion

University of Texas at Austin

Yuriy Gorodnichenko

University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); IZA Institute of Labor Economics

Michael Weber

University of Chicago - Finance

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Date Written: 2020

Abstract

Using a large-scale survey of U.S. households during the Covid-19 pandemic, we study how new information about fiscal and monetary policy responses to the crisis affects households' expectations. We provide random subsets of participants in the Nielsen Homescan panel with different combinations of information about the severity of the pandemic, recent actions by the Federal Reserve, stimulus measures, as well as recommendations from health officials. This experiment allows us to assess to what extent these policy announcements alter the beliefs and spending plans of households. In short, they do not, contrary to the powerful effects they have in standard macroeconomic models.

Keywords: subjective expectations, fiscal policy, monetary policy, COVID-19, surveys

JEL Classification: E310, C830, D840, J260

Suggested Citation

Coibion, Olivier and Gorodnichenko, Yuriy and Weber, Michael, Does Policy Communication During COVID Work? (2020). CESifo Working Paper No. 8369, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3633654

Olivier Coibion (Contact Author)

University of Texas at Austin ( email )

2317 Speedway
Austin, TX 78712
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Yuriy Gorodnichenko

University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics ( email )

549 Evans Hall #3880
Berkeley, CA 94720-3880
United States

HOME PAGE: http://www.econ.berkeley.edu/~ygorodni/index.htm

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

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IZA Institute of Labor Economics

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Michael Weber

University of Chicago - Finance ( email )

5807 S. Woodlawn Avenue
Chicago, IL 60637
United States

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