Обнаружение сговора на государственных закупках в России (Collusion Detection on Public Procurement in Russia)

93 Pages Posted: 16 Jul 2020

See all articles by Aleksey Rey

Aleksey Rey

Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation (RANEPA) - Institute of Physics and Power Engineering (IPPE)

Dmitriy Shagarov

Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation (RANEPA)

Ekaterina Andronova

Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation (RANEPA)

Glafira Molchanova

Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation (RANEPA) - Institute of Applied Economic Research; Moscow State University

Date Written: March 31, 2020

Abstract

Russian Abstract: При государственных закупках на рынках часто возникают ситуации, когда участники, вместо того, чтобы конкурировать друг с другом за государственные контракты, распределяют между собой доли на рынке государственного заказа и завышают ценовой уровень выше конкурентного. В настоящей работе предлагается использовать методы эконометрики, математической статистики и машинного обучения для прогнозирования вероятности того, что закупка с участием данных контрагентов на стороне поставщика и других кандидатов на победу в конкурсе, будет предметом успешной жалобы в ФАС с точки зрения картельного сговора между поставщиками.

English Abstract: In public procurement in the markets, situations often arise when participants, instead of competing with each other for government contracts, distribute shares in the public procurement market and overestimate the price level above the competitive one. In this paper, it is proposed to use the methods of econometrics, mathematical statistics and machine learning to predict the likelihood that a purchase involving these counterparties on the supplier side and other candidates to win the competition will be the subject of a successful complaint to the FAS in terms of a cartel agreement between suppliers.

Note: Downloadable document is in Russian.

Suggested Citation

Rey, Aleksey and Shagarov, Dmitriy and Andronova, Ekaterina and Molchanova, Glafira, Обнаружение сговора на государственных закупках в России (Collusion Detection on Public Procurement in Russia) (March 31, 2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3634005 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3634005

Aleksey Rey (Contact Author)

Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation (RANEPA) - Institute of Physics and Power Engineering (IPPE) ( email )

Moscow
Russia

Dmitriy Shagarov

Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation (RANEPA) ( email )

Vernadskogo Prospect 82
Sredny av. V.O., 57/43
Moscow, St. Petersburg 119571
Russia

Ekaterina Andronova

Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation (RANEPA) ( email )

Vernadskogo Prospect 82
Sredny av. V.O., 57/43
Moscow, St. Petersburg 119571
Russia

Glafira Molchanova

Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation (RANEPA) - Institute of Applied Economic Research ( email )

Russia

Moscow State University ( email )

GSP-2, Leninskie Gory
Moscow, 119992
Russia

Do you have a job opening that you would like to promote on SSRN?

Paper statistics

Downloads
37
Abstract Views
233
PlumX Metrics