Epidemics: A Tale of Two Workers
Covid Economics Issue 32, CEPR Discussion Papers, 2020
31 Pages Posted: 1 Jul 2020
Date Written: June 24, 2020
This paper shows that the labour market opportunities available to an agent has a significant bearing on how that agent experiences the outbreak of an epidemic. I consider two types of labour (i) market labour that can only produce output in close physical proximity, and (ii) remote labour that can produce output at a distance. This paper develops a Two Agent New Keynesian model extended to include an epidemic bloc and dual feedback between economic decisions and the evolution of the epidemic. I show that an agent restricted to only supply market labour experiences higher death rates vis-a-vis their share of the population, and suffers larger declines in labour and consumption over the course of the epidemic. Post-epidemic, these agents are significantly worse off than their counterparts who have the opportunity to work from home and hence a more unequal society emerges. I then show that simple containment policies, while leading to larger losses in economic prosperity as measured by output loss, can significantly reduce death rates across the population, bring the death rates of the two groups closer together, and reduce the inequality that emerges post epidemic.
Keywords: Macroeconomic Labour, Heterogeneous Agents, New Keynesian DSGE, Inequality, Epidemics, Lockdown, Covid-19
JEL Classification: E120, E240, E250, E320, E660, I140, J210, J220
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation