Does Holding Elections during a Covid-19 Pandemic Put the Lives of Politicians at Risk?
34 Pages Posted: 9 Jul 2020
Date Written: June 1, 2020
We estimate the impact of French town hall elections held in mid-March 2020 on the mortality of 170,000 male candidates aged above 60. Their excess mortality during March and April was similar to the general population. We compare candidates in cities with two candidate lists to those in cities with only one list, as elections are more intense in contacts in the former group. We also use a regression discontinuity design and investigate mortality in 2020 depending on how candidates fared in the 2014 election. We cannot detect any causal effect of active participation in the 2020 elections on mortality.
Note: Funding: None to declare
Declaration of Interest: None to declare
Keywords: COVID-19 pandemic; French elections; individual-level data; regression discontinuity design
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