Cryptocurrency Volatility Markets

30 Pages Posted: 30 Jun 2020 Last revised: 3 May 2021

See all articles by Fabian Woebbeking

Fabian Woebbeking

Goethe University Frankfurt - Department of Finance

Date Written: July 1, 2020

Abstract

By computing a volatility index (CVX) from cryptocurrency option prices, we analyze this market's expectation of future volatility. Our method addresses the challenging liquidity environment of this young asset class and allows us to extract stable market implied volatilities. Two alternative methods are considered to compute volatilities from granular intra-day cryptocurrency options data, which spans over the COVID-19 pandemic period. CVX data therefore captures `normal' market dynamics as well as distress and recovery periods. The methods yield two cointegrated index series, where the corresponding error correction model can be used as an indicator for market implied tail risk. Comparing our CVX to existing volatility benchmarks for traditional asset classes, such as VIX (equity) or GVX (gold), confirms that cryptocurrency volatility dynamics are often disconnected from traditional markets, yet, share common shocks.

Keywords: Cryptocurrency, Blockchain, Bitcoin, Volatility, Derivatives, Options, Liquidity, CVX, VIX, COVID-19

JEL Classification: C50, E42, F31, G10, G11, G13

Suggested Citation

Woebbeking, Fabian, Cryptocurrency Volatility Markets (July 1, 2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3639098 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3639098

Fabian Woebbeking (Contact Author)

Goethe University Frankfurt - Department of Finance ( email )

Theodor-W.-Adorno-Platz 3
Frankfurt, 60323
Germany
+49 (69) 798 33731 (Phone)

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