Voting and Political Participation in the Aftermath of the Hiv/Aids Epidemic

58 Pages Posted: 7 Jul 2020

See all articles by Hani Mansour

Hani Mansour

University of Colorado at Denver - Department of Economics

Daniel I. Rees

University of Colorado Denver; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

James Reeves

University of Michigan at Ann Arbor

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Abstract

This is the first study to examine the effect of experiencing a widespread, deadly epidemic on voting behavior. Using data on elections to the U.S House of Representatives and leveraging cross-district variation in HIV/AIDS mortality during the period 1983-1987, we document the effects of the HIV/AIDS epidemic on votes received by Democratic and Republican candidates. Beginning with the 1994 elections, there is a strong, positive association between HIV/AIDS mortality and the vote share received by Democratic candidates. Congressional districts that bore the brunt of the HIV/AIDS epidemic also saw substantial increases in Democratic voter turnout and contributions made to Democratic candidates.

JEL Classification: D72, I18

Suggested Citation

Mansour, Hani and Rees, Daniel I. and Reeves, James, Voting and Political Participation in the Aftermath of the Hiv/Aids Epidemic. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3643206 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3643206

Hani Mansour (Contact Author)

University of Colorado at Denver - Department of Economics ( email )

Campus Box 181
P.O. Box 173364
Denver, CO 80218
United States

Daniel I. Rees

University of Colorado Denver ( email )

Campus Box 181
P.O. Box 173364
Denver, CO 80218
United States

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

James Reeves

University of Michigan at Ann Arbor ( email )

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