Networks of Countries Defined by the Dynamics of the COVID-19 Pandemic

11 Pages Posted: 17 Jul 2020

See all articles by Leonard Strashnoy

Leonard Strashnoy

University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA)

Dmitry Lande

Institute for information Recording of NASU

Date Written: July 8, 2020

Abstract

A technique for forming, clustering and visualizing so-called correlation networks of countries determined by the dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic is here proposed. The links between countries as nodes of such networks correspond to the values of correlations between sets of parameters corresponding to the dynamics of the pandemic in these countries. To build network structures for each node (country), vectors are formed - arrays of numbers corresponding to the dynamics of the pandemic (in one case - the dynamics of daily mortality, in the second - the dynamics of infection). For this purpose, data obtained from an external source - an aggregator of such data - is used. This approach, in contrast to the existing ones, has such advantages as a relatively low dimension of vectors-parameters corresponding to countries; a reliable mathematical basis for correlation analysis; objectivity - for the "purity" of data corresponds to a reliable data aggregate; the use of standard software tools; and the relative ease of implementation. This method can be used in analytical systems for various purposes to analyze arrays of entities without explicit relationships between them. Correlation networks can be considered as the basis for constructing probabilistic networks and applying fuzzy semantic network technologies for further analysis with the use of experts, and decision support systems.

Note: Funding: None to declare

Declaration of Interest: None to declare

Keywords: social media monitoring, cyber security, OSINT, Big Data, Cyber Aggregator Correlation Network, Pandemic Dynamics, Data Aggregation, Network visualization, Cluster Analysis, Modularity

Suggested Citation

Strashnoy, Leonard and Lande, Dmitry, Networks of Countries Defined by the Dynamics of the COVID-19 Pandemic (July 8, 2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3647570 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3647570

Leonard Strashnoy

University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) ( email )

405 Hilgard Avenue
Box 951361
Los Angeles, CA 90095
United States

Dmitry Lande (Contact Author)

Institute for information Recording of NASU ( email )

Shpaka str., 2
Kyiv, 03013
Ukraine

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