A Narrow Escape? Malthusian Pressures in the Late Imperial Moscow
22 Pages Posted: 17 Aug 2020
Date Written: July 15, 2020
Did late Imperial Russia suffer from Malthusian pressures? In this paper, we use quarterly demographic and economic data from Moscow to answer this question using a VAR approach. In doing so, we provide the first application of this common methodology in economic history to pre-1913 Russia. We find signs that there was an escape from Malthusian pressures, but that this escape was a narrow one. Our findings are consistent with the existing literature depicting a low, but unsteadily increasing standard of living in Russia during the late imperial period.
Keywords: Russian Economic History, Late Imperial Russia, Malthusian Pressures, VAR, Rolling VAR, Positive Check, Preventive Check. 1
JEL Classification: J11, N33, N13
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