Productivity, Prices and Productivity in Manufacturing: a Demsetzian Perspective

47 Pages Posted: 20 Aug 2020 Last revised: 26 Jan 2021

See all articles by Sam Peltzman

Sam Peltzman

University of Chicago, Booth School of Business; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Date Written: July 19, 2020

Abstract

Concentration has increased since the 1980s in a variety of industries. Price-cost margins have also increased over this period. These developments have raised concern about weakened competition and resulting harm to consumers. Calls for tougher antitrust enforcement have become louder. Many years ago Harold Demsetz (1973) cautioned against inferring weakened competition from a confluence of rising margins and concentration. He argued that productivity differences across firms were a potential “omitted variable.” This paper provides evidence on the interplay between concentration, prices and productivity across several hundred US manufacturing industries over two 15 year periods from 1982-2012. The consistent pattern is that high and rising concentration has been on average associated with better productivity growth. Rising concentration has also been associated with widening margins of price-cost margins. I show that widening margins generally, whether related to concentration or not, are mainly driven by productivity gains, not prices. as in the competitive process outlined in Demsetz (1973). Some skepticism about tougher antitrust policy may be warranted, since this would risk harm to productivity without benefiting consumers.

Keywords: Concentration, Prices, Productivity, Margins, Manufacturing, Antitrust Policy

JEL Classification: [L11, L16, L40, D24, D4, K21

Suggested Citation

Peltzman, Sam, Productivity, Prices and Productivity in Manufacturing: a Demsetzian Perspective (July 19, 2020). University of Chicago Coase-Sandor Institute for Law & Economics Research Paper No. 917, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3655762 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3655762

Sam Peltzman (Contact Author)

University of Chicago, Booth School of Business ( email )

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Chicago, IL 60637
United States

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

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United States

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