Impact of COVID-19 in Africa: A Scenario Analysis to 2030
Africa Report, Institute for Security Studies, Pretoria, 2020
40 Pages Posted: 4 Aug 2020
Date Written: July 23, 2020
This report presents three scenarios on the impact of COVID-19 in Africa using economic growth forecasts, mortality and efforts to ameliorate impact through social grants. Likely effects are examined on per capita income, poverty and the attainment of selected Sustainable Development Goals targets. Africa’s development trajectory has suffered a severe setback, with extreme poverty rising in all the scenarios. The pandemic threatens Africa in several ways, and the report provides policy recommendations to reduce vulnerability and strengthen resilience.
Keywords: Africa, COVID-19, forecast, scenario, poverty, income, impact
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