Druglords Don’t Stay at Home: COVID-19 Pandemic and Crime Patterns in Mexico City

23 Pages Posted: 9 Aug 2020

See all articles by Jose Roberto Balmori de la Miyar

Jose Roberto Balmori de la Miyar

University Anahuac Mexico, Business and Economics School

Lauren Hoehn-Velasco

Georgia State University - Andrew Young School of Policy Studies

Adan Silverio-Murillo

School of Government, Tecnologico de Monterrey

Date Written: July 15, 2020

Abstract

Objective: To investigate the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on conventional crime and organized crime in Mexico City, Mexico.

Methods: Mexico City’s Attorney General’s Office reported crime data, covering domestic violence, burglary, robbery, vehicle-theft, assault-battery, homicides, kidnapping, and extortion. We use an event study for the intertemproal variation across the 16 districts (municipalities) in Mexico City for 2019 and 2020.

Results: We find a sharp decrease on crimes related to domestic violence, burglary, and vehicle theft; a decrease during some weeks on crimes related to assaultbattery and extortion, and no effects on crimes related to robbery, kidnapping, and homicides.

Conclusions: While our results show a decline in conventional crime during the COVID-19 pandemic, organized crime remains steady. These findings have policy implications for catastrophic events around the world, as well as possible national security issues in Mexico.

Keywords: Crime, Organized Crime, COVID-19, Mexico

JEL Classification: J12, J16, J18

Suggested Citation

Balmori de la Miyar, Jose Roberto and Hoehn-Velasco, Lauren and Silverio-Murillo, Adan, Druglords Don’t Stay at Home: COVID-19 Pandemic and Crime Patterns in Mexico City (July 15, 2020). Andrew Young School of Policy Studies Research Paper Series Forthcoming, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3667160 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3667160

Jose Roberto Balmori de la Miyar (Contact Author)

University Anahuac Mexico, Business and Economics School ( email )

Av de las Torres 131
Olivar de los Padres
Mexico City, Mexico City 01780
Mexico

Lauren Hoehn-Velasco

Georgia State University - Andrew Young School of Policy Studies ( email )

Department of Economics
35 Broad Street, 6th Floor
Atlanta, GA 30303-3083
United States

Adan Silverio-Murillo

School of Government, Tecnologico de Monterrey ( email )

Calle del Puente 222
Mexico City, 04210
Mexico

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