Does Losing Lead to Winning? An Empirical Analysis for Four Different Sports

35 Pages Posted: 22 Sep 2020

See all articles by Bouke Klein Teeselink

Bouke Klein Teeselink

VU Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics

Martijn J. van den Assem

Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

Dennie van Dolder

VU Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics; Tinbergen Institute; Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics (CeDEx) - University of Nottingham

Date Written: August 7, 2020

Abstract

Berger and Pope (2011) show that being slightly behind increases the likelihood of winning in professional and collegiate basketball. We extend their analysis to large samples of Australian football, American football and rugby matches, but find little to no evidence of such an effect for these three sports. When we revisit the phenomenon for basketball, we do find supportive evidence for National Basketball Association (NBA) matches from the period analyzed in Berger and Pope. However, we find no significant effect for NBA matches from outside this sample period, for collegiate matches, and for matches from the Women's NBA. High-powered meta-analyses across the different sports and competitions do not reject the null hypothesis of no effect of being slightly behind on winning.

Keywords: competition, motivation, performance, regression discontinuity design

JEL Classification: D01, D91, Z20

Suggested Citation

Klein Teeselink, Bouke and van den Assem, Martijn J. and van Dolder, Dennie, Does Losing Lead to Winning? An Empirical Analysis for Four Different Sports (August 7, 2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3669174 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3669174

Bouke Klein Teeselink (Contact Author)

VU Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics ( email )

De Boelelaan 1105
Amsterdam, 1081 HV
Netherlands

Martijn J. Van den Assem

Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam ( email )

De Boelelaan 1105
Amsterdam, 1081HV
Netherlands

Dennie Van Dolder

VU Amsterdam - School of Business and Economics ( email )

De Boelelaan 1105
Amsterdam, 1081HV
Netherlands

Tinbergen Institute ( email )

Burg. Oudlaan 50
Rotterdam, 3062 PA
Netherlands

Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics (CeDEx) - University of Nottingham ( email )

University Park
Nottingham, NG7 2RD
United Kingdom

Here is the Coronavirus
related research on SSRN

Paper statistics

Downloads
51
Abstract Views
438
rank
423,056
PlumX Metrics