A Quantitative Model for the Integrated Policy Framework

Abstract

Many central banks have relied on a range of policy tools, including foreign exchange intervention (FXI) and capital flow management tools (CFMs), to mitigate the effects of volatile capital flows on their economies. We develop an empirically-oriented New Keynesian model to evaluate and quantify how using multiple policy tools can potentially improve monetary policy tradeoffs. Our model embeds nonlinear balance sheet channels and includes a range of empirically-relevant frictions. We show that FXI and CFMs may improve policy tradeoffs under certain conditions, especially for economies with less well-anchored inflation expectations, substantial foreign currency mismatch, and that are more vulnerable to shocks likely to induce capital outflows and exchange rate pressures.

Keywords: Purchasing power, Supply and demand, Exchange rate policy, Exchange premiums, Exchange markets, Monetary Policy, FX Intervention, Emerging Economies, DSGE Model., WP, UIP, EME, inflation expectation, real exchange rate, emerge market economy

JEL Classification: C54, E52, E58, F41, E01, O24, G21, E31