I’d Like toMove It! Consumption Rivalry in the EV Public ChargingMarket: Demand Estimation with Deterministic Choice Set Variation

55 Pages Posted: 15 Oct 2020 Last revised: 25 Jun 2021

Date Written: April 30, 2021

Abstract

Consumption rivalry generates variation in the choice sets decision-makers face. Neglecting such variation may bias demand estimates. To correct this bias, researchers have used aggregated data on stockouts and information from periodic inventory systems to impose probabilistic constraints on the choice set.

I use new data from a real-time inventory system that records all public charging sessions of electric vehicles. Per transaction, this identifies a user's full set of available alternatives. Including this information as deterministic choice set constraints significantly improves demand forecasts for local charging facilities. Estimated differences between observed and latent demand reach up to 40 percentage points.

Keywords: Electric Vehicles, Discrete choice, Preference estimation, Consumption rivalry, Policy Design

JEL Classification: H42, H54, L62, Q41, Q48

Suggested Citation

Soetevent, Adriaan R., I’d Like toMove It! Consumption Rivalry in the EV Public ChargingMarket: Demand Estimation with Deterministic Choice Set Variation (April 30, 2021). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3670687 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3670687

Adriaan R. Soetevent (Contact Author)

University of Groningen ( email )

P.O. Box 800
9700 AV Groningen
Netherlands
++ 31 50 363 7018 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://www.soetevent.com

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