COVID-19 and (Un)Desired Fertility: The Effect of Stay-at-Home Orders on Abortions in Mexico City

27 Pages Posted: 11 Oct 2020

See all articles by Fernanda Marquez-Padilla

Fernanda Marquez-Padilla

CIDE

Biani Saavedra

Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas (CIDE)

Date Written: October 2, 2020

Abstract

COVID-19 mitigation policies, including stay-at-home (SAH) orders, have been implemented in Mexico leading to unintended consequences for women's sexual and reproductive health. We study the effects of SAH orders on the number of abortions performed by Mexico City's public abortion program and analyze effects on desired fertility. Using difference-in-difference estimations and event study analyses, we show that SAH orders lead to a decrease in abortions of at least 25%. By complementing our analysis using call data from the government's helpline for women, we anticipate effects of the COVID-19 lockdown on fertility and present evidence of an increase in unwanted pregnancies.

Keywords: COVID-19, fertility, abortion, reproductive health

JEL Classification: I18, I12, J13

Suggested Citation

Marquez-Padilla, Fernanda and Saavedra, Biani, COVID-19 and (Un)Desired Fertility: The Effect of Stay-at-Home Orders on Abortions in Mexico City (October 2, 2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3703581 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3703581

Fernanda Marquez-Padilla (Contact Author)

CIDE ( email )

Carretera Mexico Toluca 3655
01210 Mexico, D.F.
Mexico

Biani Saavedra

Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas (CIDE) ( email )

Circuito Tecnopolo Norte 117
Col. Tecnopolo Pocitos II
Aguascalientes, 20313
Mexico

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