Predicting Recession Probabilities Using the Slope of the Yield Curve
Posted: 6 Jun 2018
Date Written: March 1, 2018
Abstract
In this FEDS Note, we examine the predictions of various models and recent surveys of the probability of a recession in the near term.
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Johansson, Peter and Meldrum, Andrew, Predicting Recession Probabilities Using the Slope of the Yield Curve (March 1, 2018). FEDS Notes No. 2018-03-01-3 https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.2146, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3703972
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