The Global Factor Structure of Exchange Rates

52 Pages Posted: 7 Oct 2020 Last revised: 18 Sep 2022

See all articles by Sofonias Alemu Korsaye

Sofonias Alemu Korsaye

Swiss Finance Institute; University of Geneva - Geneva Finance Research Institute (GFRI)

Fabio Trojani

University of Geneva; University of Turin - Department of Statistics and Applied Mathematics; Swiss Finance Institute

Andrea Vedolin

Boston University - Department of Finance & Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Date Written: October 2020

Abstract

We provide a model-free framework to study the global factor structure of exchange rates. To this end, we propose a new methodology to estimate international stochastic discount factors (SDFs) that jointly price cross-sections of international assets, such as stocks, bonds, and currencies, in the presence of frictions. We theoretically establish a two-factor representation for the cross-section of international SDFs, consisting of one global and one local factor, which is independent of the currency denomination. We show that our two-factor specification prices a large cross-section of international asset returns, not just in- but also out-of-sample with R2s of up to 80%.

Suggested Citation

Korsaye, Sofonias Alemu and Trojani, Fabio and Vedolin, Andrea, The Global Factor Structure of Exchange Rates (October 2020). NBER Working Paper No. w27892, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3705103

Sofonias Alemu Korsaye (Contact Author)

Swiss Finance Institute ( email )

c/o University of Geneva
40, Bd du Pont-d'Arve
CH-1211 Geneva 4
Switzerland

University of Geneva - Geneva Finance Research Institute (GFRI) ( email )

40 Boulevard du Pont d'Arve
Geneva 4, Geneva 1211
Switzerland

Fabio Trojani

University of Geneva ( email )

Geneva, Geneva
Switzerland

University of Turin - Department of Statistics and Applied Mathematics ( email )

Piazza Arbarello, 8
Turin, I-10122
Italy

Swiss Finance Institute ( email )

c/o University of Geneva
40, Bd du Pont-d'Arve
CH-1211 Geneva 4
Switzerland

Andrea Vedolin

Boston University - Department of Finance & Economics ( email )

595 Commonwealth Avenue
Boston, MA 02215
United States

Do you have a job opening that you would like to promote on SSRN?

Paper statistics

Downloads
9
Abstract Views
250
PlumX Metrics