The COVID Report Card

27 Pages Posted: 20 Oct 2020

See all articles by Megan Czasonis

Megan Czasonis

State Street Corporate

Mark Kritzman

Windham Capital Management

Baykan Pamir

State Street Associates

David Turkington

State Street Associates

Date Written: October 16, 2020

Abstract

The authors model COVID infections and COVID deaths, both reported and implied, for the 50 U.S. states as well as the District of Columbia, and separately for a sample of 33 countries, as a function of pre-existing circumstances that citizens have no ability to control over the short term. These models give predictions of expected COVID outcomes. They then compare their model’s predicted results with actual experience. They interpret the differences between actual experiences and the predictions across the jurisdictions as the COVID outcomes attributable to the behavior of citizens.

Keywords: COVID report card, Cross-sectional regression analysis, Implied deaths, New cases, Reported deaths,

JEL Classification: C10, C21, C23, C26, C31, C33, D10, D72, D78, I10, I12

Suggested Citation

Czasonis, Megan and Kritzman, Mark and Pamir, Baykan and Turkington, David, The COVID Report Card (October 16, 2020). MIT Sloan Research Paper 6185-20, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3714973 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3714973

Megan Czasonis

State Street Corporate ( email )

1 Lincoln Street
Boston, MA 02111
United States

Mark Kritzman (Contact Author)

Windham Capital Management ( email )

800 Boylston Street
30th Floor
Boston, MA 02199
United States
6174193900 (Phone)
6172365034 (Fax)

Baykan Pamir

State Street Associates ( email )

140 Mt. Auburn St.
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

David Turkington

State Street Associates ( email )

United States

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