The Effect of Awarding Disability Benefits on Opioid Consumption

50 Pages Posted: 18 Dec 2020

See all articles by Andrei Barbos

Andrei Barbos

University of South Florida - College of Business Administration - Department of Economics

Minglu Sun

University of South Florida

Date Written: October 21, 2020

Abstract

Strong empirical evidence points towards a significantly higher prevalence of opioid consumption among people receiving disability benefits (DB) than in the general population of the United States. However, no previous research established a causal relationship between the decision to award DB to applicants and their subsequent opioid use. We aim to contribute towards filling this gap. There are channels through which awarding DB may both increase and depress opioid consumption, and thus, ex-ante, the sign of a potential causal relationship is ambiguous. To correct for the treatment endogeneity, since an individual’s age at the time of the decision on an application impacts discontinuously at certain age cutoffs the award decision, we employ a fuzzy Regression Discontinuity model with age-related instrumental variables. We find that awarding DB increases the likelihood of using opioids by about 25 percentage points. This suggests that the positive association between DB receipt and opioid consumption is likely to be causal.

Keywords: Opioid Epidemic; Disability Benefits; Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity

JEL Classification: I12, I18, I38

Suggested Citation

Barbos, Andrei and Sun, Minglu, The Effect of Awarding Disability Benefits on Opioid Consumption (October 21, 2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3716623 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3716623

Andrei Barbos (Contact Author)

University of South Florida - College of Business Administration - Department of Economics ( email )

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HOME PAGE: http://sites.google.com/site/andreibarbos/

Minglu Sun

University of South Florida ( email )

Tampa, FL 33620
United States

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