Japan's Inbound Tourism Boom: Lessons for its Post-COVID-19 Revival

33 Pages Posted: 30 Oct 2020

Date Written: August 1, 2020


In this paper, we review developments in Japanese inbound tourism and investigate the main determinants of its rapid growth prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. Using a panel autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model with data on 34 tourism source markets from 1996Q1 to 2018Q4, we find that not only tourist income and tourism-related relative prices, also visa policies have had significant impacts on Japan's inbound tourism demand in the long run. In the short run, natural disasters have had large and prolonged effects on tourism. We then derive policy implications for the post-COVID-19 revival of Japanese inbound tourism.

Keywords: Tourism, Personal income, COVID-19, Real exchange rates, Communicable diseases, WP, tag0, graphic tag0, td valign, mi, mi mathvariant

JEL Classification: L83, N75, O53, I12, D31, F31

Suggested Citation

Nguyen, Anh Thi Ngoc, Japan's Inbound Tourism Boom: Lessons for its Post-COVID-19 Revival (August 1, 2020). IMF Working Paper No. 20/169, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3721193

Anh Thi Ngoc Nguyen (Contact Author)

International Monetary Fund (IMF) ( email )

700 19th Street, N.W.
Washington, DC 20431
United States

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