An Adaptive Targeted Field Experiment: Job Search Assistance for Refugees in Jordan

53 Pages Posted: 3 Nov 2020

See all articles by Stefano Caria

Stefano Caria

University of Bristol

grant gordon

Columbia University

Maximilian Kasy

University of California, Berkeley

Simon Quinn

University of Oxford

Soha Shami

Sheikh Saud bin Saqr Al Qasimi Foundation for Policy Research

Alex Teytelboym

University of Oxford - St. Catherine's College

Date Written: October 2020

Abstract

We introduce a novel adaptive targeted treatment assignment methodology for field experiments. Our Tempered Thompson Algorithm balances the goals of maximizing the precision of treatment effect estimates and maximizing the welfare of experimental participants. A hierarchical Bayesian model allows us to adaptively target treatments. We implement our methodology in Jordan, testing policies to help Syrian refugees and local jobseekers to find work. The immediate employment impacts of a small cash grant, information and psychological support are close to zero, but targeting raises employment by 1 percentage-point (20%). After four months, cash has a sizable effect on employment and earnings of Syrians.

Suggested Citation

Caria, Stefano and gordon, grant and Kasy, Maximilian and Quinn, Simon R. and Shami, Soha and Teytelboym, Alex, An Adaptive Targeted Field Experiment: Job Search Assistance for Refugees in Jordan (October 2020). CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP15359, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3723548

Stefano Caria (Contact Author)

University of Bristol ( email )

University of Bristol,
Senate House, Tyndall Avenue
Bristol, BS8 ITH
United Kingdom

Grant Gordon

Columbia University

Maximilian Kasy

University of California, Berkeley ( email )

310 Barrows Hall
Berkeley, CA 94720
United States

Simon R. Quinn

University of Oxford ( email )

Soha Shami

Sheikh Saud bin Saqr Al Qasimi Foundation for Policy Research ( email )

RAK Gas Building, Level 4
P.O. Box 12050
Ras Al Khaimah
United Arab Emirates

Alex Teytelboym

University of Oxford - St. Catherine's College ( email )

Manor Road
Oxford, OX1 3UJ
United Kingdom

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