Tenure Choice and the Riskiness of Non-Housing Consumption

Posted: 7 Apr 2003

See all articles by François Ortalo-Magné

François Ortalo-Magné

Wisconsin School of Business; CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute for Economic Research)

Sven Rady

University of Bonn

Abstract

This paper analyzes a household's choice of housing tenure within a dynamic utility maximization model that yields simple analytical results under uncertainty of income, housing prices and rents. Given a housing consumption plan, we show that a decrease in the covariance between a household's earnings and housing rents increases the likelihood of ownership. A household who plans to remain in its home over a long period is more likely to own; a household who plans to remain in its home over a short period is more likely to rent. The higher the covariance between the user cost of a home and that of other properties a household is likely to consider in the future, the more likely the household is to own this home. These predictions of our model find support in recent empirical studies.

Keywords: Housing Demand, Tenure Choice, Income Fluctuations

JEL Classification: R21

Suggested Citation

Ortalo-Magne, Francois and Rady, Sven, Tenure Choice and the Riskiness of Non-Housing Consumption. Journal of Housing Economics, Vol. 11, No. 3, pp. 266-279, 2002. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=372421

Francois Ortalo-Magne

Wisconsin School of Business ( email )

4300 Grainger Hall
975 University Avenue
Madison, WI 53706-1323
United States
608-262-7867 (Phone)
608-262-7867 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://francois.marginalq.com

CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute for Economic Research)

Poschinger Str. 5
Munich, DE-81679
Germany

HOME PAGE: http://www.CESifo.de

Sven Rady (Contact Author)

University of Bonn ( email )

Regina-Pacis-Weg 3
Postfach 2220
Bonn, D-53012
Germany

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