Production Networks and Inflation Spillovers

39 Pages Posted: 27 Jan 2021

Date Written: December 4, 2020

Abstract

This paper investigates the relationship between input-output networks and the transmission of inflation shocks across manufacturing industries in South Korea, an economy that is open to external shocks. Using the dynamic inflation connectedness measures for 1971-2020, we show that production networks are responsible for the amplification of inflation shocks during times of supply shocks, such as the oil price shocks of 1973-74 and 1979-80. On the contrary, production networks are weakly associated with inflation transmission across sectors if the shocks originate from the demand-side such as the East Asian Financial Crisis of 1997.

Keywords: inflation, input-output, production, network, connectedness,vector autoregression, variance decomposition.

JEL Classification: E3, D57

Suggested Citation

Bilgin, Nuriye Melisa and Yilmaz, Kamil, Production Networks and Inflation Spillovers (December 4, 2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3740856 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3740856

Nuriye Melisa Bilgin (Contact Author)

Koc University ( email )

Koc University
Rumelifeneri Yolu
Sariyer, 34450
Turkey

HOME PAGE: http://econ.ku.edu.tr

Kamil Yilmaz

Koc University ( email )

Rumeli Feneri Yolu
Sariyer
Istanbul, 34450
Turkey
+90 212 338 1458 (Phone)
+90 212 338 1653 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://https://sites.google.com/view/kamilyilmaz/

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