No Rain No Gain – How Reduced Rainfall Impacts on Children’s School Attendance in Uganda

GDI Working Paper 2020-050

27 Pages Posted: 18 Feb 2021

See all articles by Peter Agamile

Peter Agamile

University of Manchester

David Lawson

University of Manchester

Date Written: December 3, 2020

Abstract

The increasing frequency of negative rainfall shocks presents households with a challenge of whether to send their children to school or withdraw them, in order to provide shock-coping support in the household. We use high-resolution spatial rainfall data matched with geo-referenced Uganda National Panel Survey data to estimate the effect of negative rainfall shocks on children’s school attendance. We find that exposure to negative rainfall shocks reduces children’s school attendance by almost 10%. These results have important policy implications for improving children’s schooling in Uganda, particularly in geographical areas that receive highly erratic levels of rainfall.

Keywords: Rainfall shocks, children’s school attendance, Uganda

JEL Classification: H52, H75, I21

Suggested Citation

Agamile, Peter and Lawson, David, No Rain No Gain – How Reduced Rainfall Impacts on Children’s School Attendance in Uganda (December 3, 2020). GDI Working Paper 2020-050, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3745557 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3745557

Peter Agamile (Contact Author)

University of Manchester ( email )

Booth St West
Manchester, N/A M15 6PB
United Kingdom

David Lawson

University of Manchester

Oxford Road
Manchester, N/A M13 9PL
United Kingdom

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